Sunday, October 14, 2007

On the (imaginery) Iowa road - 10/14/2007



Since last week, there's been a lot of movement in the absurdly crowded field for Presidential hopefuls. We'll first start with the Republicans. At the moment, every one's favorite mayor, Rudy Guliani has the lead here in the Hawkeye state according to polling done by the game. Sitting at 11.2%, Guliani seems to be making inroads with a increasing liberal state. Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, and Congressman Paul round out the top four.

Huckabee, who is a likable guy, made a horrific gaffe during a rally in Ames when he pooped his pants. And this wasn't the solid, dry on both ends type that wraps around the bowl. No, this was as Huckabee himself described as an "oops poops", when one attempts to pass gas and instead leaves a drippy mess for his or her aides to clean up. The smell was absolutely atrocious. So much so that one woman who was sitting behind the former Arkansas governor to vomit on the gentleman's lap who was sitting directly beside her. Luckily for the supporters in attendance, the staff at Iowa State University had a crack Scottish janitor who was there with mop in hand to clean up the mess that missed the gentleman's lap and splashed all over the floor.

"Today was quite an embarrassing moment for myself" Huckabee said after he put an adult diaper on, "but I thank the Lord that I have a wonderful family to support me, and an wonderful campaign staff who will continue to work so hard here in Iowa. While I may not be the best smelling Republican in the race right now, I can say that we have the best ideals that will bring prosperity and stability to the good folks in Iowa and America."

Kudos to Huckabee for trying to make the best out of a smelly situation, but his competition were ready to pounce. "How can we trust a guy to run the country, if he can't even run his own butt?" Asked Romney, who has been the most aggressive candidate in the GOP field thus far. The front runner, Guliani, made light of the situation by quipping, "We've all made mistakes, and I feel for Mike 'cause he's a good guy. I just don't want to be standing next to him during our debate in a few weeks." Drawing laughs from his travelling press aboard his plane heading back to New York for a fundraiser with the New York Yankees owner George Steinbrenner.

This incident is an ominous start to already underdog campaign. For all the kissing up to God that Huckabee likes to do, he must have done something behind the scenes to give his biggest supporter a reason to smite him.

On the other side of the isle, John Edwards and Senator Clinton are still the two top horses in the race each polling at over 10 %, while Senators Obama and Biden are third and fourth respectively. Governors Richardson and Bartlett are the only other candidates who have polling numbers that are even worth noting. Bartlett, who has the advantage of being from New Hampshire, is throwing his resources at Iowa and Michigan as he has taken a page from Senator Obama by investing heavily in a intense field program. Unfortunately for both candidates, it hasn't produced much thus far.


Edwards, on the other hand, has seemed to make the right choice by moving to the state and barnstorming throughout Hawkeye, Cyclone, and Panther country like the state has never seen. Unlike most candidates, Edwards has made himself an honorary Iowan, and so far, voters have seemed to respond well to the strategy.
While Hill-dawg is trailing in Iowa, she has a commanding lead throughout the rest of the country and this race is still her's to lose. If you talk to anyone in the Clinton camp, that feeling is definitely known. Mark Penn, Hillary's top campaign aide, was quoted in Politico by saying, "Were not concerned with polls at the moment. We're confident that when it comes time for the Iowa caucus, voters across the state will understand that Senator Clinton's experience is invaluable for the most important job in the world. No one in the history of American politics is as prepared for the Oval Office than Hillary."

Sunday, October 7, 2007

One more hat into the fray.


In already crowded Democratic field all vying for the top job in the land, an new candidate has thrown his name in the the hat to try and beat the Clinton juggernaut. On the steps of the state capitol, New Hampshire Governor Joshiah "Jed" Bartlet declared his candidacy for President of the United States. "I know we are up against long odds" He said in front of an enthusiastic crowd in Concord, "but I believe that this time in our nation's history is too vital for me not to lead the discussion and lead us into the new millennium. America has been through some dark days these past eight years, but I know that light is around the corner, and I will be there to make sure that every single American gets to put on their sunglasses and enjoy the new day."

Bartlet, a wildly popular Democratic governor in a fiercely libertarian state that the GOP carried in 2004, would seem to be somewhat of a long shot as his base would be in New England, a place where Senator Hillary Clinton has commanding leads in every New England state, including New Hampshire. His announcement is expected to change that in his home state, giving him a natural advantage in the vital New Hampshire primary in January. Coupled with the Iowa caucus a week before, the New Hampshire primary is historically where Presidential pretenders' campaigns go to die.

The question for Bartlet is how well he does in Michigan, Nevada, and South Carolina which are the states the follow the Granite State on the primary calendar. If Bartlet can have a strong finish in those states, particularly Michigan and South Carolina, than he may be a legitimate contender. However if he only places well in New Hampshire, than the "little campaign that could" will have a short ride.